Defensive Future Studies

Defensive Future Studies

Exploratory factor analysis of geostrategic coastal indicators affecting global and regional strategies

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 PhD student in Political Geography, Tarbiatmodares University, Tehran, Iran
2 Associate Professor of Political Geography, Tarbiat Modarres University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Professor of Political Geography, Tarbiat Modarres University, Tehran, Iran
4 Associate Professor of Political Geography, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
Objective Identifying, counting, and categorizing geostrategic coastal indicators affecting global and regional strategies in the 1414-year horizon.
Methodology: The research is with a mixed approach, with the goals of future studies and applied, which has been done in a descriptive/analytical method with an exploratory view using the Delphi method. The statistical population is considered to be the whole number and the population includes 101 military and political experts and the sampling method is purposefully judgmental. To collect data from library and field tools (interviews and questionnaires) and to reduce the indicators and fit the model, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) has been done using SPSS software.
Findings: The final model was calculated and presented for the political component of 18 indicators, the economic component of 17 indicators, the military component of 18 indicators, the natural component of 20 indicators, and the cultural component of 16 indicators. After the answer period, 22 main components were discovered and categorized using SPSS software and forming an elite panel in three stages.
Conclusion: The location of the passageway, access to access roads and fossil energy resources, and control position were the most widely used indicators in the documentation of geostrategic theories, expressing the views of experts, and the result of the analysis of the questionnaire. In the end, according to the obtained results, it can be noted that factors such as transit location, control position, access to access passages, and energy resources will be the most effective factors in global and regional strategies.
Keywords

Subjects


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