Defensive Future Studies

Defensive Future Studies

Introducing a Corporate Foresight Framework Based on Scenario Planning for Applications in Innovation Management In High Technology defense industry

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
Mohsen Keshavarz Turk 1
Seyed Mohammad Moghimi 2
Mohammad Abooyee Ardakan 3
Mohammad Rahim Eivazi 4
1 Futures Studies, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, iran
2 Futures Studies, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
3 Government Management, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran. Tehran, Iran
4 Humanity faculty, Shahed University, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
The objective evidence of research in various domains shows that companies are in danger because of lack of a framework to address the ambiguous and complex situations of the future. Meanwhile, corporate foresight is trying to respond to this need. In this situation, companies are working to develop their innovations in order to create value and wealth. One of the new and powerful tools and methods for companies in this way is corporate foresight that improves and develops the innovation management process. The present study seeks to explore the capabilities and potentials of corporate foresight in order to improve and promote innovation management. In the meantime, it utilizes the appropriateness and capabilities of the scenario methodology. The research findings combine a quantitative analysis of structural equations that examine the effects of corporate foresight on innovation management with the qualitative method through a feedback process, referral to experts and content analysis. It is worth mentioning in the qualitative analysis that researchers could return to the previous stage or stages and review the course ahead in each of the semi-structured in-depth interviews with experts and content analysis them in order to achieve the indicators and components of the framework. Research findings include effective factors of corporate foresight on innovation management in the quantitative part and, along with this, provide a corporate foresight framework for the development and improvement of innovation management, and then the development of corporate foresight framework which is based on scenario for improving innovation management.
Keywords
Corporate Foresight
Scenario Planning
innovation management
Framework

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