Defensive Future Studies

Defensive Future Studies

Explaining the significant driving forces affecting Iran's defense power in the time horizon of 1410

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
Sajad Najafi 1
Kiomars Yazdan panah 2
Zahra Pishgahifard 3
Marjan Badiee 2
1 PhD. Student. in Political Geography, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
2 Assistant Prof. in Political Geography, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
3 Professor. in Political Geography, Faculty of Geography, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
10.22034/dfsr.2020.127467.1389
Abstract
Iran's geopolitical and geostrategic position in the strategic region of the Persian Gulf has led to the creation of special situations and threats to national security and national interests in the past, present, and future, which in certain historical periods has led to war and conflict with neighbor countries and other regional and supra-regional powers, which due to the prevailing conditions of uncertainty in the future of Iran's relations and developments in the region and the international system, understanding the position and defense-military power is a necessity in the future. In this regard, in the present article, to explain the key military factors affecting Iran's defense power in the time horizon of 1410 by studying the relevant documents and previous scientific records and using the opinions of 50 experts, 141 military driving forces were identified, then with the formation of the expert panel, similar driving forces were merged and 53 driving forces were identified. Next, by using the Freedman model, we ranked and determined the value of the driving forces and determined 40 important and affective driving forces. Finally, by using Micmac software, and the cross-sectional matrix analysis method, 17 effective driving forces, and five key factors were identified as key military factors affecting Iran's defense power.
Keywords
Defense-military power
Military security
Future research
Driving forces and key factors
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