Transformation model in specialized conscription services based on scenario approach using the capacities of science, technology and innovation ecosystem

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Master of Public Policy University of Tehran, tehran, Iran

2 Ph.d. in Future Study University of Tehran and Faculty Member of Supreme National Defense University and Strategic Research, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Considering the developments that have occurred in the concept of defense and security in recent decades, there is a need to review the country's defense patterns, especially in the field of public and specialized conscription service. The purpose of this study was to study the future of specialized conscription service based on scenario approach using the capacities of science, technology and innovation ecosystem. The type of research is based on a qualitative approach and the scenario method has been used. The target of study is students and graduates in specialized service process and the analysis is based on descriptive statistical methods and validity and reliability are considered in the framework of qualitative studies. In future scenario planning with emphasis on the three-year horizon, two uncertainties in "bureaucratic transformation of services" and "Services diversity" were identified, which led to the development of four scenarios: gradual reform of research services, systemic transformation of research services, Limited development of scientific services and systemic transformation of various scientific services. Beyond the short-term scenarios, a variety of research-oriented, technology-oriented, entrepreneurship and social activism services have been proposed and the findings show that moving towards a knowledge-based ecosystem will lead to a fundamental transformation in this field.

Keywords

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Defensive Future Studies
Volume 7, Issue 25 - Serial Number 25
September 2022
Pages 105-136

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