Analysis of future trends in defense technologies over a ten-year horizon

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Professor of Industrial Management, Imam Sadegh Universit

2 Graduated from Imam Sadegh University of Industrial Management

Abstract

The rapid changes in technology in the world today have had a dramatic effect on the defense sector. Undoubtedly, these effects will face future complexities. Maintaining the defensive authority and enhancing military capabilities requires a full understanding of the future environment. In fact, it is necessary to know the future orientations of these technologies. In order to understand this orientation, it is necessary to analyze the trends that draw the future atmosphere. Therefore This research has identified the trends of defense technologies. In this approach, what is important is how the future of the research subject is. It is necessary to recognize these orientations, to be precise in the processes that may take shape or events that will occur.  In this study, after reviewing documents and library studies, to identify the future trend of defense technologies, the semi-structured interview method with defense experts has been used, and for data analysis, the deductive content analysis method has been used. In the interviews, 7 trend-driven trends were identified and their consequences were evaluated over a ten-year horizon. These processes include: development of intelligent technologies (smartening), growth of cyber technologies, popularization of unmanned systems and automation, increasing growth of space technologies, increasing use of convergent technologies, increasing use of Internet (IoT), growth of new energies.

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