The future of the Middle East regional order in the horizon 2030

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Ph.D. Candidate in Middle East Studies, Imam Hussein University

2 Assistant Prof. of International Studies, Imam Hussein University

Abstract

The Middle East is in chaos. This chaos has faced the Middle East with an increasing density of national, regional and international crises. These crises have posed numerous geopolitical challenges to convergence and, consequently, to the decline of regional power. This underscores the need and importance of providing a picture of the future of these challenges in order to address the potential consequences. Given this fundamental necessity, this study seeks to answer the central question of what are the possible future scenarios for Middle East regional order in the 2030 horizon? This research, which is exploratory in nature, has adopted a ten-step process in order to answer this question with a futuristic approach and its techniques such as screenwriting. This method has significant advantages by using elite opinions in order to validate more scenarios and identify possible futures. The most important finding of the study, which is most in line with the reality of the Middle East regional order in 2030, is the increase in the intervention of world powers, as well as increasing tensions and conflicts among the governments of the Middle East.

Keywords

References

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    • Brun, Itai and Shapira Itai. (2020). On the Brink of Escalation: Multiple Challenges Demand a New Strategy, Published by: The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS).
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    Rachel, Bronson. (2003). Challenges within the Muslim World, Director of Middle East Studies Council on Foreign Relations, Published by: Council on Foreign Relations (CFR).

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