Defensive Future Studies

Defensive Future Studies

Provide a framework for analyzing defense geopolitical issues Based on strategic foresight

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
Mohamad Yousefi Khorayem 1
Ashkan Yousefi 2
Hakem Ghasemi 3
Farhad Darvishi Setalani 4
1 Researcher in Imam Hussein University
2 Ph.D. in Department of Futurology, Faculty of Social Sciences, Imam Khomeini International University
3 Associate Prof. of Futurology, Faculty of Social Sciences, Imam Khomeini International University
4 Department of Futurology, Faculty of Social Sciences, Imam Khomeini International University
10.22034/dfsr.2021.128981.1396
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to provide a Foresighting framework for analyzing defense geopolitical issues. Geopolitics due to the environment and environmental forms or phenomena such as geographical location, land shape, scarce resources, communication and critical facilities (land, sea and air), the relationship between tools in political decision-making, especially at a continuous and global level there is. In the present study, after reviewing the theoretical literature of geopolitics and strategic Foresighting and comparative study of geopolitical factors, a framework for analyzing defense geopolitical issues based on strategic Foresighting is presented. In terms of purpose, the present study is an applied research and descriptive-survey type in which the combined method has been used. The method of data collection is reviewing and analyzing documents and related articles and using a questionnaire. Also, the final framework and sequence of process steps have been extracted using interpretive structural modeling(ISM) technique. The results show that the framework consists of five levels and has steps such as; Analysis of current and future regional and trans-regional actors affecting defense geopolitics, economic, political, military, social and cultural situations, discovering and recognizing the desired state of defense geopolitics, recognizing and planning geostrategies and strategic situations, continuous evaluation of geopolitical issues and strategies Geopolitical goals and interests.
Keywords
Futures study
Strategic foresighting
Defense Geopolitics
Interpretive Structural Modeling
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